FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
1 - 1
Cray Valley

Fraser (9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ness (48' og.)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Charlton Athletic and Cray Valley Paper Mills, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 2-3 Charlton
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cray Valley Paper Mills

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-0 Cray Valley
Sunday, November 8 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Charlton Athletic 4-1 Cray Valley Paper Mills

Cray Valley Paper Mills travel on a high and with little to lost against third-tier opposition and will certainly look to cause problems for Michael Appleton's side. While they may be no pushovers given the magnitude of this game for the Millers, even with rotations anticipated Charlton should have more than enough to see their non-league visitors off on home turf and progress to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 84.66%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Cray Valley Paper Mills had a probability of 5.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 4-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Cray Valley Paper Mills win it was 1-2 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Cray Valley Paper Mills
84.66%	10.05%	5.28%

Both teams to score 50.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.35%

24.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.55%

44.45%

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.94%

4.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.96%

17.03%

Cray Valley Paper Mills Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.15%

47.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.88%

83.12%

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 84.66%

Cray Valley Paper Mills 5.28%

Draw 10.05%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Cray Valley Paper Mills
3-0 @ 10.64% 2-0 @ 9.96% 4-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 7.85% 2-1 @ 7.34% 4-1 @ 6.29% 1-0 @ 6.21% 5-0 @ 5.48% 5-1 @ 4.04% 6-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-2 @ 2.32% 6-1 @ 2.16% 5-2 @ 1.49% 7-0 @ 1.34% 7-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 4.21% Total : 84.66%	1-1 @ 4.58% 2-2 @ 2.71% 0-0 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.83% Total : 10.05%	1-2 @ 1.69% 0-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.16% Total : 5.28%