FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
0 - 1
Barnet

Spencer (8'), Waring (48'), Kenyon (66'), Matthews (69'), Mason (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kabamba (15')
Stevens (10'), Kanu (57')
Stevens (42')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Curzon Ashton and Barnet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Chester
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 0-2 Barnet
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 13.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.35%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Curzon Ashton	Draw	Barnet
13.61%	20.29%	66.09%

Both teams to score 46.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.78%

47.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.55%

69.45%

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.18%

45.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.42%

81.58%

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.57%

13.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.62%

40.38%

Score Analysis

Curzon Ashton 13.61%

Barnet 66.09%

Draw 20.29%

Curzon Ashton	Draw	Barnet
1-0 @ 4.8% 2-1 @ 3.76% 2-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 0.98% 3-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.21% Total : 13.61%	1-1 @ 9.64% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.29%	0-2 @ 12.4% 0-1 @ 12.35% 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-3 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 6.48% 0-4 @ 4.17% 1-4 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-5 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.68% Total : 66.09%