Man City

6 - 0

Burnley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.