FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
0 - 1
Wrexham

Bowman (57'), Anderson (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Connor (72')
McClean (57'), Tozer (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-1 Fleetwood
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Wrexham 4-1 Barrow
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Wrexham

Shrewsbury play a league higher than Wrexham and will also have home advantage on Sunday, but we fancy the Welsh outfit to triumph here. Wrexham have so much quality in the forward positions, and Parkinson's team will fancy their chances of advancing to the fourth round of the tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Wrexham
28.63%	23.91%	47.45% ( -0)

Both teams to score 58.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.62%

43.38% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.23%

65.77% (

-0)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.71%

28.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.99%

64.01% (

-0)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56% (

-0)

18.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.38% (

-0)

49.62%

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 28.64%

Wrexham 47.45%

Draw 23.91%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 7.03% 1-0 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.64%	1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.91%	1-2 @ 9.41% 0-1 @ 8.82% 0-2 @ 7.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.31% 0-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 2.24% 0-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.48% Total : 47.45%