FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK

London Stadium

West Ham
1 - 1
Bristol City

Bowen (4')
Alvarez (45+5'), Ward-Prowse (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Conway (61')
Williams (33'), Conway (35'), Pring (60')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between West Ham United and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

All competitions

Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Brighton
Tuesday, January 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Millwall
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: West Ham United 2-0 Bristol City

No Premier League outfit is immune from the odd FA Cup shock, but with West Ham producing a string of exemplary defensive performances in recent matches, Moyes's men should experience little trouble en route to the fourth round. Bristol City's failure to make the net bulge against Millwall means it is now back-to-back games without scoring for the Robins, who have not beaten the Irons since 1978 and should be kept waiting for their next such success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Bristol City
45.88% ( -0.44)	26.07% ( 0.1)	28.05% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 51.07% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.1% (

-0.2)

52.9% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.49% (

-0.17)

74.51% (

0.17)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

-0.29)

23.01% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.18% (

-0.43)

56.82% (

0.43)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.34% (

0.16)

33.66% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.69% (

0.17)

70.31% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

West Ham United 45.88%

Bristol City 28.05%

Draw 26.07%

West Ham United	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 45.88%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.05%