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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30

Mar 20, 2022 at 4pm UK

Sukru Saracoglu Stadium

Fenerbahce
2 - 1
Konyaspor

Min-jae (65'), Pelkas (89')
Aziz (53'), Min-jae (53'), Rossi (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bytyqi (35')
Cekici (55'), Hadziahmetovic (64'), Dikmen (68')

Preview: Fenerbahce vs. Konyaspor - prediction, team news, lineups

By Ben Sully | 19 March 2022

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Konyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fenerbahce and Konyaspor will face off in the Super Lig in a contest that could prove crucial in the battle for Champions League qualification.

The hosts find themselves in third position, with five points separating them from Konyaspor who occupy the second and final Champions League qualification place.

Match preview

Fenerbahce's Miha Zajc celebrates scoring their first goal with Mergim Berisha and team members on March 6, 2022 © Reuters

Fenerbahce currently sit in a Europa Conference League qualification spot, but a place in the top two would see them qualify for the Champions League.

However, Fenerbahce will need to overturn a five-point deficit to Konyaspor in their last nine games if they are to finish in the top two.

They do, however, enter Sunday's encounter in confident mood after winning 5-2 away to Alanyaspor in their most recent outing.

Fenerbahce looked to have squandered a two-goal lead after Alanyaspor's Tayfur Bingol netted a brace to cancel out strikes from Diego Rossi and Mesut Ozil, but Arda Guler, Dimitrios Pelkas and Mergim Berisha all struck late to seal the three points.

Ismail Kartal's side return to home surroundings on Sunday, and they will be confident that they can trouble the Konyaspor defence, having scored in 13 of their 14 home league matches this season.

Fenerbahce coach Ismail Kartal before the match on March 6, 2022 © Reuters

Konyaspor, meanwhile, looked to have rediscovered their form in the last couple of games after enduring a five-match winless run in all competitions.

Ilhan Palut's side claimed back-to-back wins with a dramatic away victory against Kayserispor last weekend.

Abdulkadir Parmak and Mario Gavranovic grabbed a goal apiece to give Kayserispor a two-goal lead within 14 minutes, but Guilherme scored from the spot to cut the deficit before half time.

The visitors then turned the game on its head in the second half thanks to Sokol Cikalleshi's brace, which ended a run of three consecutive away league defeats.

Like their hosts, Konyaspor will also believe that can find the net on Sunday after failing to score in just two of their 14 away matches in the Turkish Super Lig this term.

Fenerbahce Turkish Super Lig form:

Fenerbahce form (all competitions):

Konyaspor Turkish Super Lig form:

Team News

Fenerbahce's Mert Yandas celebrates scoring their first goal on February 24, 2022 © Reuters

Ferdi Kadioglu will miss out for the hosts due to a thigh injury, while Mert Hakan Yandas is suspended for the meeting with Konyaspor.

Pelkas and Berisha could both come into the starting lineup after coming off the bench to score against Alanyaspor last weekend.

After scoring in his first start since January, Ozil will retain his place in the side for Sunday's contest.

As for the visitors, they are without Eray Birnican who is suspended for the away encounter against Fenerbahce.

Endri Cekici could come into the starting lineup after featuring as a second-half substitute last weekend.

Cikalleshi returned to the side in impressive fashion against Kayserispor, and he will lead the line once again on Sunday.

Fenerbahce possible starting lineup:
Bayindir; Osayi-Samuel, Kim, Aziz, Szalai; Crespo, Zajc; Rossi, Ozil, Pelkas, Berisha

Konyaspor possible starting lineup:
Sehic; Skubic, Demirbag, Bardakci, Guilherme; Dikmen Hadziahmetovic; Amilton, Cekici, Bytyqi; Cikalleshi

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We say: Fenerbahce 1-1 Konyaspor

Konyaspor won the reverse fixture by a 2-0 scoreline and on Sunday it is the turn of Fenerbahce to have home advantage, however, the visitors have rediscovered their form in the last couple of games, and we think that will inspire them to hold their hosts to a draw.

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Konyaspor had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Konyaspor win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.