Greek Superleague | Gameweek 17

Jan 7, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Harilaou Kleanthis Vikelidis

Aris
2 - 1
PAOK

Suleymanov (46'), Saverio (59')
Jules (88'), Darida (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rahman (75')
Rahman (6'), Meite (48'), Ozdoyev (65'), Taison (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Aris Thessaloniki and PAOK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions

Last Game: Asteras 3-2 Aris
Wednesday, January 3 at 2pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

PAOK

All competitions

Greek Superleague

Last Game: PAOK 4-0 OFI Crete
Wednesday, January 3 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.

Result
Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	PAOK
42.96% ( 0.12)	25.77% ( -0.02)	31.27% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 53.77% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.78% (

0.06)

50.23% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.82% (

0.05)

72.18% (

-0.05)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

0.08)

23.25% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.84% (

0.12)

57.17% (

-0.12)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.06% (

-0.03)

29.94% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.95% (

-0.04)

66.05% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Aris Thessaloniki 42.96%

PAOK 31.27%

Draw 25.76%

Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	PAOK
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.96%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 31.27%