Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for MTK had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.

Result
Fehervar	Draw	MTK
42.59% ( 0.68)	23.08% ( 0.02)	34.33% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 64.45% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.22% (

-0.28)

36.78% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.05% (

-0.31)

58.95% (

0.31)

Fehervar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22% (

0.17)

17.79% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.5% (

0.28)

48.5% (

-0.28)

MTK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.39% (

-0.49)

21.62% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.28% (

-0.76)

54.73% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Fehervar 42.59%

MTK 34.33%

Draw 23.07%

Fehervar	Draw	MTK
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.94% Total : 42.59%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.07%	1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.6% Total : 34.33%