Friendlies 3
Jun 7, 2024 at 12pm UK
Phnom Penh National Olympic Stadium
Ogawa (22'), Sa (30')
Orn (53'), Choum (78'),
Ogawa (89')
FT (HT: 2-0)
Erdenebat (13'), Amgalanbat (62'), Dulguun (64'), Gantuya (86'), Ariunbold (90+1') Amgalanbat (72'), Amgalanbat (72')
We said: Cambodia 1-0 Mongolia
The Mongols are experiencing a scoring crisis at the moment and seem to be lacking their share of creativity and attacking prowess regardless of who they face.
Cambodia have not fared much better, but we project a narrow victory for them, given they will be at home, where they look more at ease at the back and in possession.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 82.9% . A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 4.73% .
The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.7% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.57%) and 1-0 (12.11%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%) , while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (2.2%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cambodia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cambodia.
Result Cambodia Draw Mongolia 82.9% ( -0.04) 12.37% ( 0.03) 4.73% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 34.72% ( 0.03)
59.09% ( -0.04) 40.91% ( 0.04)
36.7% ( -0.04) 63.3% ( 0.04)
92.52% ( -0.02) 7.48% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 73.12% ( -0.05) 26.88% ( 0.05)
37.53% ( 0.05) 62.47% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 8.14% ( 0.02) 91.86% ( -0.02)
Cambodia 82.88%
Mongolia 4.73%
Draw 12.37%
Cambodia Draw Mongolia 2-0 @ 15.7% 3-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.14% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 82.88% 1-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 12.37% 0-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.19% Total : 4.73%
How you voted: Cambodia vs Mongolia
28
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:41:31
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