Egypt should have too much for their visitors, who come into this one on the back of an awful streak of results in friendly games. By contrast, the Pharaohs are near perfect in exhibition matches, giving the hosts the edge in Hassan's first game in charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
Egypt	Draw	New Zealand
67.83% ( -0.41)	20.05% ( 0.23)	12.11% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 43.46% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.46% (

-0.5)

49.54% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.43% (

-0.45)

71.57% (

0.44)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.37% (

-0.28)

13.62% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.21% (

-0.56)

40.78% (

0.55)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.31% (

0.01)

49.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.56% (

0.01)

84.43% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Egypt 67.82%

New Zealand 12.11%

Draw 20.05%

Egypt	Draw	New Zealand
1-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 67.82%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.05%	0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 12.11%