Friendlies 3
Mar 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
We said: Guinea 3-0 Vanuatu
Although Guinea are necessarily lining up with their strongest side for this contest, it should still largely be one-way traffic. Vanuatu would take pride in a solid performance and avoiding a heavy defeat, and they may just avoid that here.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 75.44% . A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 8.24% .
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.42% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 3-0 (11.01%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%) , while for a Vanuatu win it was 0-1 (3.35%) . The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.
Result Guinea Draw Vanuatu 75.44% ( -0) 16.32% 8.24% ( 0)
Both teams to score 41.06% ( -0)
55.44% ( -0) 44.56% ( 0)
33.07% ( -0) 66.93% ( 0)
89.89% ( -0) 10.11% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 66.71% ( -0) 33.29% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 12.53% ( -0) 87.47% ( 0)
Guinea 75.43%
Vanuatu 8.24%
Draw 16.32%
Guinea Draw Vanuatu 2-0 @ 14.42% 1-0 @ 12.58% 3-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 6.72% 4-0 @ 6.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.85% 5-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.05% 5-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.18% 6-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 75.43% 1-1 @ 7.68% 0-0 @ 5.49% 2-2 @ 2.69% Other @ 0.46% Total : 16.32% 0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.34% 0-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.52% Total : 8.24%
How you voted: Guinea vs Vanuatu
5
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 09:25:08
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