Friendlies 3

Mar 22, 2024 at 10pm UK

Stade Al Bachir

Niger
1 - 2
Togo

(32'), (37')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dermane (58', 64')
(22'), (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Niger and Togo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Niger

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Niger
Monday, January 8 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Togo

All competitions

Last Game: Togo 0-0 Senegal
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo DR	3	3	7
2	Morocco	3	2	6
3	Ivory Coast	3	-1	2
4	Togo	3	-4	1

Niger and Togo have stumbled into the new year and will be looking to return to winning ways as they prepare for their next World Cup qualifying outing. We predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 44.1%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Niger had a probability of 26.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Togo would win this match.

Result
Niger	Draw	Togo
26.89% ( -0.03)	29.01% ( -0.04)	44.1% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 42.26% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.23% (

0.12)

63.77% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.98% (

0.08)

83.02% (

-0.08)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.43% (

0.04)

40.57% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.83% (

0.03)

77.17% (

-0.03)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

0.1)

28.88% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.25% (

0.12)

64.75% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Niger 26.89%

Togo 44.09%

Draw 29%

Niger	Draw	Togo
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 26.89%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29%	0-1 @ 14.55% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 44.09%