MX23RW : Wednesday, June 12 16:48:25| >> :60:421:421:
Poland national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Narodowy
Germany national football team

Poland
1 - 0
Germany

Kiwior (31')
Szymanski (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thiaw (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Poland and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Friday's international friendly with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Germany

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 3-3 Ukraine
Monday, June 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Poland 1-2 Germany

 There will undoubtedly be a few teething problems along the way as Germany become accustomed to their new shape, but defending has been an issue for Die Mannschaft for a while now, and a striker as lethal as Lewandowski will no doubt make Flick's side pay. The visitors can call upon their attacking talent in reserve to save the day, though, and with Poland also finding their feet under Santos, we expect Flick's side to get back on track in Warsaw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Poland had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Poland win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
PolandDrawGermany
16.74% (-0.292 -0.29) 21.65% (0.023 0.02) 61.6% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.02% (-0.676 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (-0.593 -0.59)46.97% (0.59800000000001 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (-0.557 -0.56)69.21% (0.56100000000001 0.56)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66% (-0.717 -0.72)41.34% (0.721 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (-0.638 -0.64)77.86% (0.642 0.64)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (-0.107 -0.11)14.72% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.07% (-0.211 -0.21)42.93% (0.215 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Poland 16.74%
    Germany 61.6%
    Draw 21.65%
PolandDrawGermany
1-0 @ 5.38% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.55% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.37% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 16.74%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.65%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 11.17% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.13% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.42% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.31% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 61.6%

How you voted: Poland vs Germany

Poland
52.1%
Draw
15.5%
Germany
32.4%
71
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2016 8pm
Group Stage
Germany
0-0
Poland
Khedira (3'), Ozil (34'), Boateng (67')
Maczynski (45'), Grosicki (55'), Peszko (93')
> Match Report
Sep 4, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Germany
3-1
Poland
> Match Report
Oct 11, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Poland
2-0
Germany
Milik (51'), Mila (88')
Szukala (20'), Lewandowski (56'), Piszczek (93')

Boateng (24'), Bellarabi (86')
> Match Report
May 13, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Germany
0-0
Poland
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
 
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
 
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
 
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
 
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
 
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
 
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
 
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
 
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
 
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
 
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
 
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
 
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
 
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
 
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
 
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
 
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
 
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
 
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
 
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
 
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
 
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000
> European Championship 2024 overview


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!