Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

This should be a valuable match for both sides ahead of the Copa America, and we are expecting it to be close in terms of the scoreline. Colombia are in excellent form, though, and we are backing the talented outfit to put another positive result on the board here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Colombia
61.84% ( -0.09)	23.07% ( 0.03)	15.08% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 42.46% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.75% (

0.02)

55.25% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.52% (

0.02)

76.48% (

-0.02)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.51% (

-0.03)

17.49% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.01% (

-0.05)

47.99% (

0.04)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.46% (

0.11)

48.54% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.38% (

0.08)

83.62% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

USA 61.84%

Colombia 15.08%

Draw 23.07%

USA	Draw	Colombia
1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 61.84%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 23.07%	0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.08%