La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Lejeune (26'), Duarte (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Alaves 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic's recent form has been impressive, and they beat Alaves 1-0 in the reverse match at San Mames earlier this season. We are expecting this to be a tight fixture, as Athletic have only won twice on their travels in the league this season, but the visitors should have enough quality to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
24.06%	27.65%	48.28%

Both teams to score 43.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.96%

61.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.98%

81.02%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.42%

41.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.93%

78.06%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.55%

25.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.72%

60.28%

Score Analysis

Alaves 24.06%

Athletic Bilbao 48.27%

Draw 27.65%

Alaves	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.19% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.19% Total : 24.06%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.65%	0-1 @ 14.47% 0-2 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-3 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.55% 1-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.07% Total : 48.27%