La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 26, 2023 at 1pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 3
Girona

Berchiche (35'), Garcia (89')
de Marcos (14'), Alvarez (45'), Garcia (78'), Valverde (78'), Muniain (85'), Paredes (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Garcia (4'), de Marcos (19' og.), Vesga (45+1' og.)
Castellanos (16'), Bueno (28'), Martinez (36'), Romeu (72'), Gazzaniga (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, February 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 6-2 Almeria
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Girona

Girona deserve a lot of respect for their performance level in La Liga this season, but we are finding it difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result here. Michel's team are not strong travellers, while Athletic have been impressive at home this season, so we are backing a victory for Valverde's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Girona had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Girona
63.78% ( -0.03)	22.03% ( 0.01)	14.19% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 43.29% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.05% (

0.02)

52.95% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.45% (

0.02)

74.55% (

-0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.98% (

-0)

16.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.65% (

-0.01)

45.35% (

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.54% (

0.05)

48.45% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.44% (

0.04)

83.56% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 63.77%

Girona 14.19%

Draw 22.02%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 14.21% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 63.77%	1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.02%	0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 14.19%