La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 1
Girona

Correa (5', 48')
Gimenez (45+1'), Cunha (49'), Savic (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Riquelme (66')
Hernandez (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Brugge 2-0 Atletico
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 3-5 Real Sociedad
Sunday, October 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 3-2 Girona

With a porous Atletico Madrid the favourites here, against a fearless Girona side, we expect to see goals at both ends in what promises to be another exciting tie. The quality of the home side should ultimately shine through, however, as they aim to make up for their midweek defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Girona
58.42% ( 0.01)	23.73% ( -0)	17.84% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.97% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.47% (

-0)

53.52% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.96% (

-0)

75.04%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.9% (

18.09% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.97% (

0.01)

49.03% (

-0.01)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.13% (

-0.01)

43.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.98% (

-0.01)

80.02% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 58.42%

Girona 17.84%

Draw 23.73%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 13.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 6.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.24% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.42%	1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.73%	0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 17.84%