La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 2, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
2 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Correa (28', 53')
Simeone (7'), Suarez (26'), Gimenez (63'), De Paul (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Rayo Vallecano

Under normal circumstances, we would be backing Rayo to give Atletico an incredibly difficult match and might have tipped a score draw in this contest; the visitors will be missing a number of important players, though, so we are backing Atletico to pick up a much-needed three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
55.72%	25.25%	19.04%

Both teams to score 43.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.53%

57.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.73%

78.27%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.35%

20.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.77%

53.23%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.22%

44.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.24%

80.76%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 55.71%

Rayo Vallecano 19.04%

Draw 25.25%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.58% 2-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 4.86% 4-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.22% Total : 55.71%	1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.43% 1-2 @ 4.71% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.04%