La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 17, 2022 at 1pm UK

Estadio Iberoamericano 2010

Mallorca
1 - 0
Almeria

Maffeo (25')
Ruiz de Galarreta (5'), Costa (52'), Kang-in (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Robertone (36'), Chumi (65'), Ramazani (78'), Ely (90+1'), Puigmal (90+5'), Sousa (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Mallorca
Sunday, September 11 at 1pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Valencia	5	2	6
13	Mallorca	5	-2	5
14	Almeria	5	-2	4

Almeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Almeria 0-1 Osasuna
Monday, September 12 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Mallorca	5	-2	5
14	Almeria	5	-2	4
15	Espanyol	5	-4	4

There is not an awful lot between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Mallorca have home advantage, but Almeria have shown positives early in the campaign, and we are backing the points to be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Almeria
37.21% ( 0.6)	27.9% ( -0.55)	34.89% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.05% (

1.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.08% (

1.98)

57.92% (

-1.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.37% (

1.54)

78.63% (

-1.54)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05% (

1.36)

29.95% (

-1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.94% (

1.61)

66.06% (

-1.61)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59% (

0.98)

31.41% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22% (

1.12)

67.78% (

-1.12)

Score Analysis

Mallorca 37.21%

Almeria 34.88%

Draw 27.9%

Mallorca	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.21%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.73) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.54) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.88%