La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 13, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
3 - 1
Almeria

Budimir (46'), Ezzalzouli (51'), Gomez (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lazaro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, May 6 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Elche
Tuesday, May 2 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria are in the better form entering this match, but it is difficult to back them on the road considering their struggles this term. Osasuna will be determined to return to winning ways, but we believe that the points will ultimately be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Almeria
59.86% ( 0.07)	21.17% ( -0.02)	18.97% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.03% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.85% (

0.04)

41.15% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.45% (

0.04)

63.54% (

-0.04)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.63% (

0.03)

13.37% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.72% (

0.07)

40.27% (

-0.06)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

-0.02)

35.32% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

-0.02)

72.08% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 59.86%

Almeria 18.97%

Draw 21.17%

Osasuna	Draw	Almeria
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 59.86%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.17%	1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 18.97%