La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 14, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
1 - 0
Mallorca

Oroz (47')
Avila (58'), Torro (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kang-in (39'), Grenier (90+4'), Valjent (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Osasuna
Monday, January 9 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Valladolid
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Seven of the last nine La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we have had to settle on another draw here. Osasuna are yet to draw a home league game this term, but Mallorca's away record is relatively strong, and we believe that the points will be shared on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Mallorca
40.89% ( 0.08)	28.37% ( 0.03)	30.73% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 45.78% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.68% (

-0.15)

60.31% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.52% (

-0.11)

80.48% (

0.11)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

-0.03)

28.96% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

-0.03)

64.85% (

0.03)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.44% (

-0.17)

35.55% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.68% (

-0.17)

72.32% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 40.89%

Mallorca 30.72%

Draw 28.36%

Osasuna	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 40.89%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.36%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 30.72%