La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Real Betis

Junior (9'), Rodrygo (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Canales (17')
Gonzalez (25')

Real Madrid continue 100% start to the season with victory over Real Betis

Goals from Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo see Real Madrid extend their 100% start to the new season with a 2-1 victory over Real Betis at the Bernabeu.

Sep 3, 18:39

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Espanyol 1-3 Real Madrid
Sunday, August 28 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	3	6	9
2	Real Betis	3	5	9
3	Barcelona	3	7	7

Real Betis

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Betis 1-0 Osasuna
Friday, August 26 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	3	6	9
2	Real Betis	3	5	9
3	Barcelona	3	7	7

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Real Betis

This is an incredibly difficult match to call, with Real Betis a tough nut to crack. The visitors can also take confidence from their recent record at Bernabeu, but Real Madrid are grinding out wins at an impressive rate, and we believe that a tight match will just end with Ancelotti's side claiming the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Real Betis
62.37% ( 0.62)	21.21% ( -0.12)	16.42% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.38% (

-0.38)

45.62% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.05% (

-0.37)

67.94% (

0.37)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.95% (

0.07)

14.04% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.39% (

0.13)

41.61% (

-0.13)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.05% (

-0.86)

40.94% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.49% (

-0.78)

77.5% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 62.36%

Real Betis 16.42%

Draw 21.2%

Real Madrid	Draw	Real Betis
1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 62.36%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.2%	0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.42%