Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
61.14% | 22.22% | 16.64% |
Both teams to score 48.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% | 49.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% | 71.48% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.3% | 15.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.23% | 44.77% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.05% | 42.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.75% | 79.25% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 6.03% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.09% Total : 61.13% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 5.7% 1-2 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.66% Total : 16.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |