La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 4, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
5 - 1
Getafe

Lato (7'), Lino (14'), Castillejo (16'), Gonzalez (65'), Duro (68')
Castillejo (45'), Moriba (75')
Moriba (88')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Alvarez (78')
Alena (10'), Arambarri (41'), Mayoral (54'), El Haddadi (57'), Mitrovic (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

Last Six:

Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Atletico
Monday, August 29 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Rayo Vallecano	3	0	4
14	Valencia	3	-1	3
15	Espanyol	3	-4	1

Getafe

Last Six:

Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Villarreal
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Sevilla	4	-5	1
18	Getafe	3	-5	1
19	Real Valladolid	3	-7	1

Valencia are in need of a positive result following back-to-back defeats, and we are tipping Los Che to secure all three points here. Getafe have a lot of quality in the final third and are capable of avoiding defeat, but we are expecting the home side to emerge victorious in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Getafe
49.05% ( -0.31)	28.12% ( -0.22)	22.83% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 41.28% (

1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.66% (

1.01)

63.34% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.29% (

0.72)

82.71% (

-0.73)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.87% (

0.32)

26.13% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.8% (

0.43)

61.2% (

-0.43)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.88% (

1.13)

44.12% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.78% (

0.91)

80.22% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Valencia 49.05%

Getafe 22.83%

Draw 28.11%

Valencia	Draw	Getafe
1-0 @ 15.47% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 49.05%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.11%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.83%