La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 0
Real Sociedad

Zubeldia (40' og.)
Foulquier (11'), Musah (45'), Castillejo (55'), Lato (67'), Mamardashvili (69'), Paulista (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zubimendi (4'), Rico (35'), Fernandez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Valencia
Monday, February 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 18 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Valencia 2-2 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad have won eight of their 11 away league matches this season, drawing just once, but we just have a feeling that Valencia could secure a share of the spoils here. Los Che's losing run is going to end at some stage, and an entertaining contest at Mestalla could finish in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Real Sociedad
31.13% ( 0.05)	26.81% ( -0.02)	42.06% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 50.45% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.52% (

0.1)

54.48% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.16% (

0.08)

75.84% (

-0.09)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.8% (

0.09)

32.2% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.31% (

0.1)

68.68% (

-0.11)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4% (

0.02)

25.59% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.53% (

0.03)

60.47% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Valencia 31.13%

Real Sociedad 42.06%

Draw 26.8%

Valencia	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.13%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.8%	0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.06%