La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Jackson (2', 12'), Terrats (70')
Capoue (22')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Strand Larsen (29')
Seferovic (25'), Vazquez (45+1'), Nunez (49'), Tapia (54'), Carvalhal (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Espanyol
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Elche
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Celta Vigo

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, as Villarreal look to continue their push for the top four. There is no real pressure on Celta, which could work in the away team's favour on Sunday, but we are still expecting the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Celta Vigo
56.19% ( -0.07)	22.37% ( 0.07)	21.43% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.95% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.83% (

-0.32)

43.16% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.43% (

-0.31)

65.56% (

0.31)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.8% (

-0.13)

15.19% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.18% (

-0.25)

43.82% (

0.25)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.97% (

-0.18)

34.02% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.29% (

-0.2)

70.7% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 56.19%

Celta Vigo 21.43%

Draw 22.37%

Villarreal	Draw	Celta Vigo
2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 56.19%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.37%	1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 21.43%