MX23RW : Saturday, June 1 01:48:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 18
May 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Derry City

Dundalk
0 - 0
Derry


Gullan (18'), Muller (56')
FT

Hoban (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galway United 2-0 Dundalk
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Sligo
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 1-3 Derry City

While Dundalk will be hoping that home advantage can swing things in their favour, facing the division's joint-top goalscorers is unlikely to lead to a positive result. With that in mind, we feel that Derry will run out fairly-convincing victors on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw has a probability of 28.5% and a win for Dundalk has a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Dundalk win it is 1-0 (9.76%).

Result
DundalkDrawDerry City
23.56% (-0.168 -0.17) 28.5% (-0.124 -0.12) 47.93% (0.291 0.29)
Both teams to score 41.04% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.99% (0.267 0.27)64% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.81% (0.19 0.19)83.19% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.22% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)43.77% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)79.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.273 0.27)27% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.357 0.36)62.35% (-0.358 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 23.56%
    Derry City 47.92%
    Draw 28.49%
DundalkDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.56%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 15.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 10.13% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.42% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 47.92%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Derry

Dundalk
31.3%
Draw
6.3%
Derry City
62.5%
16
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Derry
4-1
Dundalk
O'Reilly (31'), Patching (46'), Mullen (58'), Duffy (65')
O'Kane (75')
Benson (14'), Animasahun (42')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Dundalk
1-3
Derry
Hoban (90+6' pen.)
Horgan (19'), Leahy (25')
Patching (42', 77'), Doherty (47')
McMullan (85')
May 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Derry
3-0
Dundalk
McEneff (19'), Kavanagh (60'), Duffy (83')
Apr 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Dundalk
2-2
Derry
Benson (71'), Yli-Kokko (72')
Doherty (44'), Kavanagh (79')
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne2010732314937
2Derry CityDerry208842718932
3Shamrock RoversShamrock208752920931
4Waterford UnitedWaterford188462620628
5Galway United187651411327
6Bohemians187382021-124
7St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's206592023-323
8Sligo RoversSligo185761821-322
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda183691932-1315
10DundalkDundalk18279925-1613


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