League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 15

May 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Tallaght Stadium

Shamrock
2 - 2
St Patrick's

Greene (4'), Cleary (60')
Lopes (41'), Poom (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Turner (23'), Melia (64')
Keating (45+1'), Breslin (51'), Redmond (73'), Forrester (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Shamrock 1-3 Waterford
Monday, May 6 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Sligo 1-0 St Patrick's
Monday, May 6 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 16.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Shamrock Rovers	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
62.26% ( 0.3)	21.18% ( -0.14)	16.57% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 51.17% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.76% (

0.35)

45.24% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.42% (

0.33)

67.58% (

-0.33)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.04% (

0.2)

13.96% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.56% (

0.4)

41.44% (

-0.39)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.47% (

0.02)

40.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.87% (

0.02)

77.13% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Shamrock Rovers 62.24%

St Patrick's Athletic 16.57%

Draw 21.18%

Shamrock Rovers	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.76% Total : 62.24%	1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.18%	0-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 16.57%