Waterford

4 - 2

Drogheda

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.