League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Cole (43'), O'Keeffe (73')
McAtee (21'), Durand de Gevigney (67'), Kane (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martin (68')
Evans (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Wigan
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers will certainly pose a tough test at Oakwell and have the quality to hurt Barnsley, but the Reds do have more quality throughout their squad, and with plenty of momentum of their own, we fancy Collins's men to come out on top in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Bristol Rovers
55.06% ( 0.06)	22.33% ( -0.03)	22.6% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 57.76% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.46% (

0.07)

41.54% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.06% (

0.07)

63.94% (

-0.07)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99% (

0.05)

15.01% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.53% (

0.09)

43.47% (

-0.09)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.96% (

0.01)

32.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.49% (

0.01)

68.51% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 55.06%

Bristol Rovers 22.61%

Draw 22.33%

Barnsley	Draw	Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 55.06%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.33%	1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 22.61%