League One

League One | Gameweek 38

May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cambridge

Helm (28')
Latty-Fairweather (13'), Kirk (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrison (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Cambridge United

We expect Cambridge United to rise to the occasion and claim a vital victory over Burton Albion, who can afford to take their foot off the gas having secured their League One status for another season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Cambridge United
51.23% ( 1.92)	24% ( -0.42)	24.77% ( -1.51)

Both teams to score 54.75% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.26% (

0.55)

46.73% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31% (

0.52)

69% (

-0.52)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

0.97)

18.26% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.7% (

1.63)

49.3% (

-1.63)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.98% (

-0.93)

33.02% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.39% (

-1.05)

69.6% (

1.05)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 51.23%

Cambridge United 24.77%

Draw 23.99%

Burton Albion	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.23%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.77%