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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Exeter City |
40.57% ( 0.13) | 26.28% ( 0.04) | 33.15% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 52.79% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.21% ( -0.2) | 51.78% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.45% ( -0.17) | 73.54% ( 0.17) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.85% ( -0.02) | 25.14% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.14% ( -0.03) | 59.85% ( 0.02) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.53% ( -0.21) | 29.46% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.52% ( -0.25) | 65.47% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.56% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |