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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Northampton Town |
45.39% ( 0.12) | 25.9% ( -0.03) | 28.71% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 52% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.1% ( 0.08) | 51.9% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.35% ( 0.07) | 73.65% ( -0.07) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.18% ( 0.09) | 22.81% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.47% ( 0.13) | 56.53% ( -0.13) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.37% ( -0.03) | 32.63% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.83% ( -0.03) | 69.17% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |