League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
4 - 1
Exeter

Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Scott (23')
Aimson (66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-1 Exeter City

Charlton appear to have turned a corner with the help of Appleton's experienced management, and we can envisage them inflicting a fourth defeat in five games on their opponents. Exeter began the campaign in fine form but they have since dropped off to a large degree in recent weeks, with their natural level around mid-table likely to be coming to the fore. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Exeter City
42.6% ( -0.44)	24.31% ( -0)	33.08% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 59.47% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.88% (

0.16)

43.12% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.48% (

0.15)

65.52% (

-0.15)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61% (

-0.13)

20.39% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.19% (

-0.21)

52.81% (

0.21)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7% (

0.34)

25.3% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93% (

0.47)

60.07% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 42.6%

Exeter City 33.08%

Draw 24.31%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Exeter City
2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 42.6%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.31%	1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.08%