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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Leyton Orient

Charlton
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

Dobson (45')
May (49'), Fraser (60'), Maynard-Brewer (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beckles (13'), El Mizouni (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Charlton
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Leyton Orient
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Leyton Orient

Considering both sides have lost key players and made a number of signings, we can see the teams cancelling each other out here, as it could take a few weeks for new arrivals to gel. In addition, the teams recently played out a 1-1 draw in a pre-season friendly, so we can see a repeat of that scoreline this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlton Athletic in this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawLeyton Orient
38.16% (-2.321 -2.32) 26.27% (0.422 0.42) 35.57% (1.9 1.9)
Both teams to score 53.27% (-1.081 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (-1.529 -1.53)51.38% (1.529 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (-1.349 -1.35)73.2% (1.35 1.35)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (-1.942 -1.94)26.26% (1.943 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (-2.67 -2.67)61.38% (2.67 2.67)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (0.426 0.43)27.76% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66% (0.542 0.54)63.34% (-0.541 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 38.16%
    Leyton Orient 35.57%
    Draw 26.27%
Charlton AthleticDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.325 -0.32)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.335 -0.34)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.367 -0.37)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.16%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.435 0.44)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.663 0.66)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.233 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.99% (0.491 0.49)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.139 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.238 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 35.57%

How you voted: Charlton vs Leyton Orient

Charlton Athletic
50.0%
Draw
8.3%
Leyton Orient
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Leyton Orient
1-0
Charlton
Smyth (78')
Papadopoulos (57'), Sotiriou (90+4')
Papadopoulos (65')

Chin (45+1')
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Charlton
3-1
Leyton Orient
Aouachria (12'), Mingi (64'), Maddison (74')
Aidoo (15'), Barker (29'), Aouachria (45+1')
Dennis (67')
Wright (50')
Mar 31, 2012 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Leyton Orient
Wagstaff (7'), N'Guessan (82')

Smith (45'), Leacock (50'), Forbes (61'), Reed (87')
Dec 31, 2011 3pm
Apr 2, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Group A

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4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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Group D

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Group E

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Group F

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3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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