League One

League One | Gameweek 33

Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Whaddon Road

Cheltenham
2 - 0
Fleetwood

May (41'), Raglan (45')
Williams (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Nsiala (48'), Hayes (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Fleetwood Town

All things considered, this should be a competitive fixture between two evenly-matched teams. With the focus potentially on avoiding defeat over pushing for a win, a share of the spoils feels the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Fleetwood Town
41.5%	27.33%	31.16%

Both teams to score 48.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.54%

56.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.54%

77.46%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2%

26.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92%

62.08%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8%

33.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.19%

69.8%

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 41.5%

Fleetwood Town 31.16%

Draw 27.33%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.5%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.16%