Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Stevenage has a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Stevenage win it is 0-1 (6.5%).
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Stevenage |
55.95% ( 0.42) | 23.68% ( -0.09) | 20.38% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 50.21% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.98% ( -0.03) | 50.02% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% ( -0.03) | 72% ( 0.03) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% ( 0.15) | 17.71% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.63% ( 0.25) | 48.37% ( -0.25) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.03% ( -0.37) | 38.98% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.3% ( -0.34) | 75.7% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.51% Total : 55.94% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |