League One

League One | Gameweek 37

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 2
Bolton

Cox (46', 49')
Aitchison (73'), Sweeney (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Maghoma (33'), Toal (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Bolton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Exeter have only picked up one point from their last four games, and things are unlikely to get any easier for them against one of the strongest teams in the division on Saturday. Bolton should be riding high after coming from two goals behind to claim a precious point away to their promotion rivals Barnsley in midweek, while the potential return of Charles to their travelling squad will provide another boost. We expect them to claim a narrow victory and remain in the top two positions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
24.63% ( -0)	24.96% ( -0)	50.41% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.57% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.13% (

0.01)

50.87% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.25% (

0.01)

72.75% (

-0)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.61%

35.38% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.85% (

-0)

72.14% (

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

20.19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.51% (

0.01)

52.49% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 24.63%

Bolton Wanderers 50.41%

Draw 24.96%

Exeter City	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2% Total : 24.63%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.41%