League One

League One | Gameweek 20

Dec 3, 2022 at 1pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
2 - 1
Cambridge

March (37'), Wickham (90+3' pen.)
Casey (45+1'), Boyes (78'), O'Keeffe (89'), McGeouch (90+6')
O'Keeffe (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Janneh (89')
Smith (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Alvechurch
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-0 Cambridge United

Forest Green may be unfortunately placed at the bottom of the league table, making them strong relegation candidates. However, manager Burchnall will look to take advantage against a Cambridge side seemingly incapable of scoring goals either home or away. Another strong outing for the Green's strike partnership of Wickham and March should be enough to topple Cambridge, and we predict winning goals from the pair of them this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Cambridge United
50.3% ( 0.88)	25.05% ( -0.31)	24.65% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.83% (

0.75)

51.17% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98% (

0.66)

73.01% (

-0.66)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64% (

0.67)

20.35% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.24% (

1.06)

52.75% (

-1.06)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.47% (

-0.09)

35.52% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71% (

-0.09)

72.29% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 50.3%

Cambridge United 24.65%

Draw 25.04%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.67% Total : 50.3%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.65%