League One

League One | Gameweek 46

Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
0 - 2
Portsmouth

House (39'), Taylor (42'), Erhahon (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Peart-Harris (81'), Lane (90+12')
Towler (37'), Mousinho (38'), Peart-Harris (39'), Lowery (57'), Moxon (70'), Sparkes (76'), Yengi (90+4'), Saydee (90+9')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Portsmouth

Having already secured promotion, Portsmouth have little to play for on the final day of the season, but they will still be keen to extend their unbeaten away run to 10 matches. After drawing three of their last five away games, we think that Pompey will do enough to dent Lincoln's playoff hopes by holding their hosts to a draw in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Portsmouth
33.18% ( -0.16)	27.51% ( 0.04)	39.31% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 48.98% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.36% (

-0.17)

56.64% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.4% (

-0.13)

77.61% (

0.14)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12% (

-0.19)

31.88% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.67% (

-0.22)

68.33% (

0.22)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

-0.01)

28.09% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

-0.02)

63.76% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 33.18%

Portsmouth 39.31%

Draw 27.5%

Lincoln City	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.18%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.31%