League One

League One | Gameweek 33

Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 3
Bolton

Bodin (9', 32')
Moore (26'), Kane (70'), Seddon (76')

FT(HT: 2-2)

John (10'), Fossey (38'), Bakayoko (86')
Afolayan (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

While Oxford have been the stronger side over the course of the season, the visitors find themselves in a formidable run of form, and we fancy them to extend their unbeaten streak with another hard-fought win. Saturday certainly presents a particularly tricky test for Evatt's men, but, with sky-high confidence and the need to continue earning results to keep their playoff hopes alive, they will be difficult to stop. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
54.97%	23.34%	21.68%

Both teams to score 53.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.92%

47.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.68%

69.32%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.01%

16.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.89%

47.12%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.01%

35.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.23%

72.77%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 54.97%

Bolton Wanderers 21.68%

Draw 23.33%

Oxford United	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.61% 3-1 @ 5.8% 3-0 @ 5.67% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.97%	1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.33%	0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.68%