League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Oct 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Bodin (13'), Long (81')
Brannagan (15'), Moore (46'), Smyth (90')
Smyth (90+5'), Mills (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Collins (89')
Barton (16'), Martin (48'), Brown (57'), Finley (78')
Brown (63')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Bristol Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
50.24% ( -0.05)	24.05% ( 0.02)	25.71% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.54% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.86% (

-0.05)

46.14% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.56% (

-0.05)

68.43% (

0.05)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59% (

-0.04)

18.41% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.44% (

-0.07)

49.56% (

0.07)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.07% (

31.93% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.62% (

68.38% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 50.24%

Bristol Rovers 25.71%

Draw 24.05%

Oxford United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 50.24%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.05%	0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.71%