League One

League One | Gameweek 19

Nov 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
3 - 1
Fleetwood

McNally (5'), Brannagan (13'), Holland (69')
Whyte (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Matete (40')
Clark (52'), Batty (65'), Matete (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

The outcome of this one highly depends on the number of absentees that Oxford will be suffering from, but considering the possibility that they will remain without a few of their first-team players at least, we are predicting Fleetwood to pick up at least a point here. Oxford would normally be the favourites for a comfortable win against struggling opponents in this one, but their troubling situation presents Fleetwood with the chance to pick up a vital draw or victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 62.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
62.45%	21.31%	16.24%

Both teams to score 50.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.65%

46.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.36%

68.65%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.75%

14.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.98%

42.03%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.39%

41.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.91%

78.1%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 62.44%

Fleetwood Town 16.24%

Draw 21.3%

Oxford United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.55% 2-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 6.41% 4-0 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.81% 5-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.6% Total : 62.44%	1-1 @ 10.13% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.3%	0-1 @ 5.2% 1-2 @ 4.44% 0-2 @ 2.28% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.24%