Port Vale

2 - 0

Bristol Rovers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.