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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portsmouth win with a probability of 55.17%. A win for Reading has a probability of 22.43% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Reading win is 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.44%).
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Reading |
55.17% ( 0.81) | 22.4% ( -0.05) | 22.43% ( -0.75) |
Both teams to score 57.28% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.93% ( -0.61) | 42.07% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.53% ( -0.62) | 64.47% ( 0.62) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.85% ( 0.06) | 15.15% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.25% ( 0.11) | 43.75% ( -0.1) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.52% ( -1) | 32.49% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.99% ( -1.14) | 69.01% ( 1.14) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Reading |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 55.17% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.47% Total : 22.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |