League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
2 - 0
Wrexham

Leigh (50' pen.), Longelo-Mbule (72')
Adedoyin (28')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Wrexham

Wrexham may possess one of the worst attacking records away from home in the top half of the League Two table, but Parkinson's stingy defence should have no problems keeping an out-of-sorts Accrington team at bay. With injuries also rearing their ugly heads for the hosts, a replenished Wrexham crop boosted by the return of a well-rested Mullin should stroll to a sixth successive victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Wrexham
36.78% ( 0.56)	24.86% ( -0.11)	38.36% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 58.27% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55% (

0.57)

45% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.65% (

0.55)

67.35% (

-0.54)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91% (

0.57)

24.08% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.63% (

0.81)

58.37% (

-0.8)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

0.03)

23.25% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.83% (

0.04)

57.16% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 36.78%

Wrexham 38.36%

Draw 24.85%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 36.78%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.36%