League Two

League Two | Gameweek 12

Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
1 - 2
Stevenage

Nadesan (47')
Craig (14'), Fellows (45+4'), Nadesan (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Roberts (24'), Norris (85' pen.)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Stevenage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Doncaster 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Harrogate
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Stevenage
31.46% ( -0.07)	26.32% ( -0.07)	42.22% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 52.1% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58% (

0.25)

52.42% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9% (

0.21)

74.1% (

-0.21)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08% (

0.08)

30.92% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.78% (

0.09)

67.21% (

-0.08)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42% (

0.18)

24.58% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.93% (

0.25)

59.07% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 31.46%

Stevenage 42.22%

Draw 26.31%

Crawley Town	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.46%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.22%