League Two

League Two | Gameweek 4

Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
0 - 3
Newport

Taylor (67'), Robertson (74'), Deeney (90+1'), Robertson (90+1')
Robertson (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Evans (1', 25'), Lewis (88' pen.)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Swindon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crewe 4-2 Newport
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.65%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Newport County
23.93% ( -0.02)	25.83% ( 0)	50.24% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.33% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.22% (

-0.01)

54.78% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.91% (

-0.01)

76.09% (

0.01)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.83% (

-0.02)

38.17% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.07% (

-0.02)

74.93% (

0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

21.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

55.07% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 23.93%

Newport County 50.24%

Draw 25.82%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.93%	1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.24%