League Two | Gameweek 8
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
We said: Grimsby Town 1-0 Crewe Alexandra
Grimsby have a fantastic recent record against Crewe, and while they have not been at their best in recent times, they have lost just one of their last eight home games in the league.
As such, we expect the Mariners to run out narrow victors in a result that will move them up into the top half of the League Two table.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 52.3% . A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.41% .
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.08%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.19%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result Grimsby Town Draw Crewe Alexandra 52.3% ( -0.03) 26.29% ( 0) 21.41% ( 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.28% ( 0.02)
41.38% ( 0) 58.62% ( -0)
20.83% ( 0) 79.17% ( -0)
77.45% ( -0.01) 22.55% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.86% ( -0.02) 56.14% ( 0.02)
57.17% ( 0.03) 42.83% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 20.86% ( 0.02) 79.14% ( -0.02)
Grimsby Town 52.29%
Crewe Alexandra 21.41%
Draw 26.29%
Grimsby Town Draw Crewe Alexandra 1-0 @ 14.38% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 52.29% 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 9.66% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.29% 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.04% Total : 21.41%
How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Crewe
Grimsby Town
Draw
Crewe Alexandra
15
rhs 2.0
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