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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
34.05% ( 0.03) | 24.01% ( 0.01) | 41.94% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 60.88% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.6% ( -0.04) | 41.4% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.2% ( -0.04) | 63.8% ( 0.04) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% | 23.93% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% ( 0) | 58.14% |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.03% ( -0.03) | 19.97% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.86% ( -0.06) | 52.14% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.05% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 41.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |